Seth Partnow postshow (Ep #84)
Seth and I get into tiering/ranking the top players heading into 2022, as well as some incredibly hot, impossible to overstate takes (and debates) on 90s and 00s stars.
2021-07-09 22:10:43 +0000 UTC View Post
Ben Taylor posts
Playoff plus-minus Part II
In part II of the series we look at some salient examples of single-year plus-minus versus multi-year or box score data. There's also a huge database in this post of all AuPM and regressed data since 1997. https:/...
2021-07-08 16:04:57 +0000 UTC View PostPlayoff Plus-Minus, Part I
Running a series on playoff plus-minus single-season AuPM. Here's part I (available to everyone). More coming soon for Insiders.
https://backpicks.com/2021/07/06/playoff-plus-minus-data-part-i-the-value-and-the...
2021-07-07 00:47:20 +0000 UTC View PostPatreon pod: Round 2 reactions
Musings on the Bucks-Nets and the Clippers-Jazz.
2021-06-22 01:03:26 +0000 UTC View PostLive Q&A Audio May 29, 2021
Really fun Q&A on where we hit on the Warriors, Bradley Beal and Devin Booker, the offensive explosion in the league, supercharging a small perimeter defender, the effect of players playing offense and defense in a sport, the greatest shooters ever and more.
2021-05-30 16:19:57 +0000 UTC View PostPatreon pod: The RealGM Top 100 players list
Every few years the realGM Player Comparison board produces a list of the 100 greatest players in NBA history. They just finished the latest version (unofficially the 7th version of the list), so Doctor MJ (Matt Johnson) and I discuss the history and trends of the list, as well as reactions to the latest versions.
Here's the history ...
2021-05-26 17:56:01 +0000 UTC View PostKevin Garnett and the Gish Gallop
New post on Backpicks: https://backpicks.com/2021/04/20/kevin-garnett-and-the-slow-gish-gallop/
Drop comments below...
2021-04-20 17:43:22 +0000 UTC View PostLive Q&A Audio (APR. 17, 2021)
What does it really mean if someone makes 1.7 extra free throws per game on the same number of attempts? And what player would benefit the most from being transported to today's game? Or by removing the idea of a scouting report? This and more on this month's Q&A...
2021-04-19 19:49:09 +0000 UTC View PostPatreon voting results for Greatest Peaks
Hey everyone -- here's a post going into greater detail on the voting results: https://backpicks.com/2021/04/09/greatest-peaks-patreon-top-10-voting-results/
We can also use this post (and thread) for comments/discussion o...
2021-04-09 20:10:35 +0000 UTC View PostMichael Jordan defense | raw footage
This is the raw footage I collected for Michael Jordan's defense as part of his Greatest Peaks profile.
2021-03-27 19:14:22 +0000 UTC View PostLast day to submit top-10 peak ballot
Thanks to everyone for submitting ballots! I'll release the results of the voting later this week, and you'll see it incorporated in the series finale. That episode will air on YouTube at the end of March or first week of April (there's a Zion video coming before then).
If you are in the $4/month tier or higher and haven't submitted ...
2021-03-22 16:04:35 +0000 UTC View PostRank your top-10 peaks!
With all the video profiles in the Greatest Peaks series completed, I hope you'll submit your top-10 multi-year peaks (after 1977). Here's how to submit a ballot:
1. Open this link: https://www.questionpro.com/t/ARUTlZlexh
... 2021-03-16 02:38:22 +0000 UTC View PostLive Q&A Audio (MAR. 6, 2021)
Great turnout and really fun live Q&A this weekend. Thanks to everyone who participated or sent in questions...a ton of Greatest Peaks questions in this one.
2021-03-10 00:32:58 +0000 UTC View PostLive Q & A Tomorrow Mar. 6 @ 6pm est / 3pm pst
The next Live Q&A for Deluxe ($7) subscribers in the Discord will take place tomorrow on March 6. (Saturday at 6pm EST / 3pm PST.)
If you can't make it, send me a question via Patreon messages (or send one to @RobbieBeats inside the Discord) and we'll answer it during the recording or next time. Looking forward to talking to you all th...
2021-03-05 22:12:09 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks Ep. 14 | Kevin Durant 2016-18
The years on this one turned out to be the trickiest of the series. I don't think 2014 Durant is really a level below these years, but I didn't want to get into the issue of splitting up the seasons after his injury in 2015. (If you look closely, you'll still notice 2014 clips.) 2016-18 is fairly consistent to me, with some additional polish on ...
2021-03-04 05:21:12 +0000 UTC View PostSubmit questions for VP of NBA Analytics & Strategy
Hey everyone -- This Friday I'm interview Evan Wasch, who is the VP of Analytics and Strategy for the NBA. This will take place at the IDEA analytics conference in the 12:45 Eastern / 9:45 pacific time slot.
If you have any questions that are related to how the league uses data for strategy, submit them below and hopefully I'll be ab...
2021-03-03 00:23:09 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks Ep. 13 | LeBron James 2012-13
LeBron time. While I'm not sure how big of a difference there was between his actual impact in 2009 and 2013, there were differences in play style, and so the chosen peak here is the height of his Miami version.
Reminder: If you have access to this post, you are invited to vote in the Patreon Top-10 peaks at the end ...
2021-02-24 23:50:20 +0000 UTC View PostUpdate on LeBron video & voting
Hey everyone -- Unfortunately I had some computer issues last week that has impacted the release dates of these final few videos.
- I'm hoping to have LeBron out tomorrow (Wednesday) for Top Tier subscribers, and the final two profiles will be released whenever they are available.
- Next week is still looking like a ... 2021-02-23 15:58:47 +0000 UTC View Post
Comments on Patreon
Hey everyone -- I'm excited to see some lively discussion on the latest videos here. (Duncan and Garnett will do that.) As you've noticed, Patreon doesn't have a great interface for handling conversations like these or even longer comments.
So if you have a long comment, please write it in a separate word document it first wi...
2021-02-18 22:00:29 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks Ep. 12 | Tim Duncan 2002-2003
Next up is Duncan -- 2004 had enough nagging injuries/mobility decline that it was hard to compete with the prior seasons. I actually think 2001 was pretty close, although there's a jump in his passing beginning in 2002, and he did just generally look more in control on offense in those MVP seasons.
Reminder: If you ...
2021-02-16 13:31:00 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks Ep. 11 | Kevin Garnett 2003-04
We are back! A pretty clear year selection for KG: 2002 didn't have the physical strength and scoring polish on offense, especially in the post, and 2005 didn't have the same defensive motor/intensity that '04 did.
Reminder: If you have access to this post, you are invited to vote in the Patreon Top-10 peaks at the e...
2021-02-09 16:01:01 +0000 UTC View Post2020 CORP Valuations
The CORP sheet has been updated with 2020 valuations, and a few new additions. https://backpicks.com/metrics/historical/corp-valuations/
I've been using ranges more when evaluating players, so you'll see those have been added for some 2020 pla...
2021-02-08 19:11:14 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks resuming Tuesday, February 9
Move the Patreon-releases to Tuesday for now. I'm in the process of working on the final 2 profiles -- if I finish those early we'll move back to Monday.
Also, I meant to ask last week: Would you be interested in a rough cut from one of the players? For instance, just the raw footage of Michael Jordan's defense that was used to build...
2021-02-08 01:34:39 +0000 UTC View PostLaMelo Ball Patreon cut
An early look at this week's (slightly longer) LaMelo ball video.
2021-02-03 16:05:28 +0000 UTC View PostLive Q&A Audio (Jan. 23, 2021)
Really fun Q&A with some questions on the Greatest Peaks series, all-time lineups, the great pairing possible and other topics like elite "non-traditional" athletic traits and evaluating defense.
2021-01-25 02:57:14 +0000 UTC View Post2021 Backpicks Box Score is live for Deluxe tier
15 games or so into the season, Nikola Jokic's crazy offensive start has him way out in front: https://backpicks.com/metrics/2021-players/
Leaders through last night's games:
Jokic +8.8
LeBron +6.6
Kawhi +6.4
Durant +6.2
...
2021-01-23 19:51:04 +0000 UTC View PostLive Q&A Tomorrow Jan. 23 @ 6pm est/3pm pst
The next Live Q&A for Deluxe ($7) subscribers in the Discord will take place tomorrow on January 23. (Saturday at 6pm EST / 3pm PST.)
If you can't make it, send me a question via Patreon messages and we'll answer it during the recording or next time. Looking forward to talking to you all there and hopefully meeting new members!
S...
2021-01-22 17:22:05 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks Ep. 10 | Kobe Bryant 2006-08
Announcement: There will be a break in the series after this episode, with the remainder of the series resuming in February.
Early look at episode 10 and Kobe Bryant. I think some minor athleticism loss makes it harder to keep 2009 at the same level as the preceding seasons (although it's close). 2006 lacks the same decisi...
2021-01-18 16:50:00 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks Ep. 9 | Shaquille O'Neal 2000-01
Early look at episode 9 and Shaquille O'Neal. Shaq's conditioning and mobility started to slide a bit in 2002 (he was up to 375 pounds!) and so that truncates his peak at 2001.
Reminder: If you have access to this post, you are invited to vote in the Patreon Top-10 peaks at the end of this series. Voting will take pl...
2021-01-11 16:31:00 +0000 UTC View PostGreatest Peaks Ep. 8 | Hakeem Olajuwon 1993-95
Early look at episode 8 (!)...the one and only Hakeem Olajuwon. Pretty clear peak here -- 1995 included because of offensive factors discussed in the video, 1989-91 were probably better defensively but the offense wasn't the same. It's looking like there will be 16 episodes including the finale where we rank players.
Reminder...
2021-01-04 16:00:05 +0000 UTC View Post