Hello Patrons,
I'm super-excited to announce my new book "Storm." Some of you may have noticed I haven't been uploading much content the last 7 months. The reason is, from December - May I worked every waking hour trying to complete this book by the May 1st deadline. I was still a month late. Published by DK books, Its loaded thick with...
2025-06-17 15:51:34 +0000 UTC View PostGood Afternoon Patrons,
Today appears to be largely an extreme wind and large hail event. There might be a window for some mesocyclonic tornadoes the first hour or two storms go up before congealing into a QLCS / squall line… and of course there always seems to be a mesoscale accident. By that we mean storms interacting with each other ...
2025-06-08 17:19:42 +0000 UTC View PostGood afternoon Patrons,
After a night of good rest, Daniel and I are heading to the panhandle for the 2% risk there. We’re not expecting tornadoes, but perhaps a pretty supercell and who knows what.
Yesterday we inte...
2025-06-07 19:26:06 +0000 UTC View Post
Good Afternoon Patrons,
Heads or Tails? SE Colorado / OK Panhandle or Texas again? It’s a tough call but for some reason I’m going with my home field advantage in Texas. I was up until 7am editing yesterday’s footage and am currently getting kicked out of the hotel by the overly generous room service. In other words, I did a very qu...
2025-06-06 18:26:33 +0000 UTC View Post
Good Day Patrons,
Today looks like a chase party in west TX. Anticipating thick conga lines / mosh pits. Those investing in windshield repair on the NY stock exchange might see a nice bump in capital gains. Rental car stock might take a hit as hail damage costs spike for some strange reason.
The next 4 days + look like consistent s...
2025-06-05 16:26:46 +0000 UTC View Post
New link! here... I messed up. Good luck
https://www.youtube.com/live/egMCIa4zlog?si=qABBRY3wwEjUnGa5
2025-06-01 00:40:51 +0000 UTC View Post
Hello Patrons,
I've got a window to squeeze in a live chat tonight before likely heading out into the Plains tomorrow. Let's talk about 2025, discuss the long term forecast for tornadic storms in early June and I'd like to share some very big news about the secret project I have been working on and completed yesterday.
I'll send a...
2025-05-31 15:41:17 +0000 UTC View Post
Today my forecast appears to be a trace of the SPCs 5% risk outlook. Agreement = more confidence. For those looking for a wiley away from the chaser hoard target, perhaps consider New Mexico though low level parameters (and others) don’t look as good out there today as yesterday.
2025-05-26 17:47:46 +0000 UTC
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Good afternoon Patrons,
Current plans today is to head toward Childress, Texas, ASAP and reforecast. Parameters in New Mexico caught my eye this morning as a viable tornado target. In Texas, I’m expecting an enormous amount of chasers based on HRRR runs. If this verifies around Paducah or Silverton, where there are very limited roads, i...
2025-05-25 17:48:22 +0000 UTC View Post
Good afternoon Patrons,
Today the Oklahoma target looks pretty obvious. My mesoanalysis is in complete alignment with the SPCs 10% tornado risk outlook (Always a confidence builder). Models have been trending with a mature supercell or two popping at 7 or 8 PM. The Cap is pretty strong here but appears breakable. I’d be surprised if the...
2025-05-24 21:26:33 +0000 UTC View Post
Good evening Patrons,
Hopefully some of you were out in Colorado today. I saw Daniel & Anton scored a neat-o tornado there. I'm in Houston slackin' but I'll be headed out for tomorrow and beyond indefinitely. It's looking like there will be some supercell parameters Saturday through at least Wednesday.
BIG SECRET NEWS
Good afternoon Patrons,
Today there’s a 15% risk of tornadoes in the heart of the Alley. As I was up until 7am this morning (editing) and have 7400 miles since the last oil change, I’m just HRRRing it. Once they’re done with my car I’m going to head to the dryline in OKC and catch the first storm I can. Apologies for the lack of g...
2025-05-19 18:15:30 +0000 UTC View Post
Good morning Patrons,
Today has all the makings of historic tornado footage. Many of us already have butterflies in our stomachs. Over the last two decades i can recall numerous similar patterns that resulted in 2 or 3 dominant supercells producing tornadoes, but only one of them, for whatever reasons, produced the ones we remember today....
2025-05-18 15:47:59 +0000 UTC View Post
Good afternoon Patrons,
I’ve been bouncing back-and-forth on my target today but it now seems that I’m targeting Oklahoma somewhere between the two purple circles . We’ve got some crazy parameters as well as some not so great parameters. So I’m just gonna drive into the middle of it all and keep a sharp eye on observations within ...
2025-05-17 18:37:11 +0000 UTC View Post
Good morning Patrons,
Today is looking nasty, scary and fast in shady chase country… Excellent parameters to sit out and survive. Above are significant tornado parameters (STP) for that vicinity where twenty states all come together. My plan is to just get in the middle of the parameters and hope for the best.
YESTERDAY it seeme...
2025-05-16 15:50:04 +0000 UTC View Post
Good morning Patrons,
Today I’ll be targeting either north or south of the Chicago area. Traffic and a big pond will likely force us to make early commitments which cell we choose.
THE NEXT SIX DAYS all appear to be good chasing opportunities. As most of us are well rested from the last lull, I’m going to attempt to capture th...
2025-05-15 15:01:35 +0000 UTC View Post
Happy Mothers Day Patron Moms!
Mother Nature has blessed storm chaser Moms with fair weather so that we can be home celebrating Mother's Day. Not such a great thing if you're a mom who was looking forward to chasing on your special holiday.
So what the heck happened to May? It seems 2 out of 3 Mays have a week or two of fair weat...
2025-05-10 21:31:44 +0000 UTC View Post
Good Morning Patrons,
Yesterday nothing of interest occurred in front of my lenses. The nice thing about this is that when I got to the hotel I didn’t have to download footage from 9 cameras and recharge 18 batteries.
TODAY it appears messy, high precipitation supercells with potential for significant tornadoes will threaten my l...
2025-05-06 14:51:27 +0000 UTC View Post
Hola Patrons,
Gotta move quick… today I’ll be targeting the NM/ west TX 5% risk. Interesting question is how long supercells can remain Tornadic as cells appear to fire up and then track toward cold air. Later, Target 2 appears to explode in the warm sector / no road sector. Let’s see what happens.
Good luck everyone!
...
2025-05-05 16:24:10 +0000 UTC View Post
G’day Patrons
Today looks like another good day for supercells and perhaps tornadoes in Texas. It might be a wack-a-mole chase bouncing around to different storms trying to smack the right one, but we never really know.
YESTERDAY began with serious flashbacks of big tornado days. A storm exploded right on target near Crowell Texa...
2025-04-29 16:40:32 +0000 UTC View Post
Good afternoon Patrons,
I’m targeting the southern end of the risk today near the TX/OK border. Special shout out to the SPC for yanking the 10% risk out from underneath us. Here’s the 8am risk outlook…
I have hi...
2025-04-28 18:45:56 +0000 UTC View Post
Heads up Patrons,
After further pondering, and pondering and pondering it appears I have subconsciously sabotaged my attempt to chase the big 15% in Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin tomorrow.
Staying in north Texas offers 3 consecutive days of good supercell potential. Good chance I might miss something epic tomorrow. If I can score so...
2025-04-27 19:18:10 +0000 UTC View Post
Howdy Patrons,
Today the SPC has a 5% risk of tornadoes up the spine of the dryline. The HRRR is currently largely saying “blue skies” and the NAM is saying “burritos can happen” in Kansas and perhaps west Texas. This is where I often get in trouble with birds in the bush. If we exhaust ourselves today, we may be out of range for ...
2025-04-27 16:05:44 +0000 UTC View Post
Good afternoon Patrons,
Today I’ll be targeting a southern supercell or two expected in west Texas and shouldn’t have any problems getting there on time.
Yesterday storms fired up an hour or so earlier than I had expected. After a 10 hour drive I missed the first tornado by 10 minutes. 🤗 I was able to scrounge a large weak o...
2025-04-26 17:46:56 +0000 UTC View Post
Greetings Patrons,
I’m currently blazing a trail into the center of the risk area and don’t have time to do a proper forecast. The plan is to just get into the target on time and hopefully pick the right storm. Here is a recent HRRR forecast.
2025-04-25 17:02:39 +0000 UTC
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Good Evening Patrons,
Attached below is a high res digital photo for you to use as a screen saver, print, hang up, use as a dart board or make paper airplanes. In 2006 I was touring the East Coast and Midwest with the band. We played over 100 shows that year. I was only able to storm chase 2 days that year and scored this big burrito on...
2025-04-24 01:24:07 +0000 UTC View Post
Good morning Patrons (afternoon in Europe)
Today the SPC currently has a 5% risk of burritos across TX and parts of OK. I’m currently targeting the southern end of the risk but may change depending on the character of the cold front.
If it can stall. Then it might be a good corridor for Tornadic supercells tracking northeast alon...
2025-04-19 12:48:57 +0000 UTC View Post
The WindBreaker is loaded up and ready to roll. BUT, the latest guidance has talked me out of it. Despite the SPC saying storms should occur around 5-7pm, the Hrrr and the Nam Nest don't really resolve any storms until after 9pm. What does resolve appears to be in a messy-mode environment. The updated runs should trickle in soon. I've still got ...
2025-04-18 13:17:47 +0000 UTC View Post
Hello Patrons,
I hope you guys got a little quiet time before the chaos. I cant believe it's already here again. What crazy wonders are we going to see in the weeks to come?
Tomorrow is interesting... My initial forecasts were elevated hailers in Nebraska and Iowa. Now that I've missed my window of opportunity I might regret being...
2025-04-17 02:16:29 +0000 UTC View Post
Good morning Patrons,
Today’s tornado threat appears to be the largest in the northeast Texas, Arkansas and vicinity. It could be an HP mess-fest overall. Perhaps not. After several days of white knuckle chasing and nothing to show for this trail, the sunk-cost will be whispering “punch into the rain and see the beast.” I shall try ...
2025-04-04 13:26:12 +0000 UTC View Post