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Ben Taylor
Ben Taylor

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Getting to the Nets — Rim pressure and perimeter player decline

Quick post on rim attempts and FTA as an indicator of decline, and what that means for Harden, Durant and even LeBron this year: https://backpicks.com/2021/10/28/getting-to-the-nets-rim-pressure-and-perimeter-player-decline/

Drop any thoughts or comments below!

Comments

to be fair with a decline in rim attacks his passing , and range has improved if he's hypothetically creating like 14 shots per 100 when he's right on lets say 25 on +3 he's still around a +4.75 or +4.88 , and with strong defense thats good enough to take over Like durants 4 spot, maybe not the big 3 tho ( Steph Giannis Jokic )

Is there any way to isolate this stat to just half court possessions?

Great article and love the graphs. I've always checked FTr and percentage of offense inside 3 feet on ball ref when I'm trying to figure out perimeter decline so I'm glad you've refined this search process. I think the first time I did this was for Wade so this stuff really hit the spot for me! Hoping in Harden's case that he has one more bounce back in him and this isn't the cliff we're looking at. Lebron's decline has been steady the past few years, as your graph shows, but lots of people are pushing back and blaming the Lakers spacing/shooting, which the Lakers seem to get worse at every year.

Iain Soder

This is a really useful stat. With LeBron, I feel like his effectiveness at the rim has declined making him more hesitant to drive. Anecdotally, it seems like he can still get to the rim but his ability to finish over defenders or draw fouls has waned.

I feel like Harden’s is a combination of both the rules changing and not being fully recovered from his injury last year. His burst isn’t nearly the same and he’s still habitually performing foul drawing moves, but isn’t getting fouls anymore. I think he probably will need time to recover more as well as adjust. I think it isn’t one individual problem that is affecting at this level but rather both of those things happenings simultaneously


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